Monday, April 25, 2011

Can Donald Trump Win the Republican Nomination? Should He? Will He Run? Let’s Discuss

I’m going to try something new here. Very few of my posts get any comments, so it may be that this is a pointless exercise. But let’s see if we can have a discussion about Donald Trump.

Do you think that he can win the Republican nomination if he runs? Do you think that he would be a good Republican candidate in the general election? Do you think that he’ll decide to run or is this all just a publicity stunt?

Let’s discuss.

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At Monday, April 25, 2011 5:17:00 PM , Blogger lorri666 said...

Hi Michael,

I don't comment because I generally suck at commenting, but okay, if you're really desperate :)

Yes, I think Trump can win the nomination and win the election. Look at Reagan. Look at Schwarzenegger. Never underestimate the American public's ability to accept nonsense if it comes spouting from a celebrity mouth with an overlay of cheap charisma. Whether he WILL win (or is really serious), who knows... probably depends on how much money he can raise and how bad the other candidates are.

Now a question back to you. If he wins, apart from the birther stuff, would he be any worse than anyone else on the possible GOP roster?

At Monday, April 25, 2011 6:44:00 PM , Blogger MSWallack said...

Before I answer your question, let me note a distinction between Trump and other Republicans. Trump has changed his mind (or, in Republi-speak "flip-flopped") so many times, it's hard to take any of his positions seriously. Like Mitt Romney, he was strongly pro-choice before he became strongly pro-life. He was for TARP and the auto bailout before he was against it. He was for single payer, Canadian-style healthcare, before he decided that the health care reform act was unconstitutional. Yes, the American public will accept nonsense from celebrities, but the GOP base tends to be very, very hard on those who have not shown ideological purity (as Reagan did). Schwarzenegger is an oddity, but then he was elected in California following a bizarre recall vote, so I'm not sure that we can make much of a comparison there. Jesse Ventura in Minnesota, though...

As to whether he'd be worse, I don't know. My gut says no with regard to policy (because I doubt he's really as far right as he's trying to position himself) but as a person in the office, my gut says yes. A degree of ego is obviously necessary to run for President, let alone be elected, but Trump has always seemed to be far more about ego than ... well ... anything. Just listen to him bluster about how he knows how to talk to the Chinese about the trade defecit or the Saudis about oil and you'll see what I mean. He is so convinced that he's just that much smarter, tougher, whatever-er, than anybody else, that I worry he would be even more of a wild gunslinger than was Bush II.

At Friday, April 29, 2011 7:50:00 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think he'd be an excellent candidate for the republican party. No way in H*ll this guy could win a presidential election!

At Saturday, April 30, 2011 11:35:00 AM , Blogger MSWallack said...

Anonymous: More detail plase. Why do you see he coulnd't win (I agree, but I'd like to hear your reasoning)?


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